Services sector activity in India expanded in January on the
back of increase in new business orders amid “solid” demand conditions, an HSBC
survey said on February 4. The HSBC India Services Business Activity Index,
which tracks changes in activity at Indian services companies on a monthly
basis, stood at 52.4 in January, up from 51.1 in December, signalling a solid
expansion in business activity. A score above 50 indicates that the sector is expanding,
while a figure below that level means contraction. “The January Services PMI
was marked by
faster expansions in activity and new orders,” HSBC India Chief
Economist Pranjul Bhandari said. This is the ninth consecutive month of
sustained growth of new business orders among Indian services companies which
was largely driven by higher new work inflows amid “solid”
demand conditions and new marketing initiatives. Moreover, Indian
service providers were the most upbeat regarding the 12-month outlook for activity
since mid-2014 in January. Panel members attributed optimism to anticipated
improvements in demand and new commercial initiatives. Despite solid growth of
activity and new business orders, payroll numbers in the Indian service sector
rose only fractionally in January. Meanwhile, the headline HSBC Composite
Output Index — that maps manufacturing as well as services sectors output —
rose from 52.9 in December to 53.3 in January, signalling further growth of
private sector output in January. On prices, the report said input costs faced
by Indian services firms rose for the second straight month in January. “On the
inflation front, both input and output prices rose further, though at a modest
pace when compared to historical trends,” Bhandari said. She added that “we
expect RBI to cut rates by a total of 75 bps in 2015, but no further as latent
inflation pressures could pick up when growth sees a meaningful lift.” The
Reserve Bank had yesterday left interest rates unchanged, saying there was no
substantial development on inflation or fiscal fronts to warrant a fresh
reduction. This stance follows a surprise rate cut by RBI on January 15 to
tackle dis-inflationary pressure. Accordingly, the RBI left the short-term
lending rate (or repo rate) at 7.75 per cent and the cash balance requirement
on the lenders (or CRR) at 4 per cent.